It really is getting a
strange place to live! 6 months ago I could
never have contemplated zero rates now we are all just waiting for it to
happen.
Now a top investment
management firm Legal & General have said rates need to be minus
1.25%. Now obviously this cannot happen
so they have said the Bank of England will simply inject money in to the system!
The credit crunch hit home
with me today. My commercial lender RBS
who lend to me for properties that cost less than £40,000 used to lend to me at
base rate + 2.5%, 70% LTV and £700 arrangement fee. I used to hate going to them as I thought it
was way uncompetitive but they knew I had nowhere else to go so I would
reluctantly borrow from them.
I dropped an email to RBS saying
is this deal still on for me and they said they have written me a letter. Boy what a letter. My new offer is:
Base + 4.75%
4% arrangement fee (min
£1,000)
Max 65% LTV
My first reaction was OMG!!!! But now thinking about it I
just have to by even more keener. Since
we have 2 years of low rates ahead the true borrowing rate is going to be 5% to
7% so nothing out of the ordinary. After
the 2 years we may see rates going back to the normal 4% to 5% so the borrowing
rate will be around 10%.
If my true borrowing rate
goes to 10% then I want a yield today of 20%.
This means I have to find properties that rent for £6,000 per year for
£30,000. Its going to be difficult, but
possible.
This new injection of money
from the Bank of England, if it ever arrives, will sort out all the
problems. I will be lining up all my
clients for this funding as son as it comes available, buy like mad, watch the
market stabilise over the next 2 years and sit back when normality has been
restored in 2011.
By that time I would hope to
have made at least 400 millionaires in that time and plenty more financially
free.
The whole property
investment rule book has been ripped up.
These crazy times ahead will result in some crazy returns being
made. Once these returns have been made
the book will be rewritten and we can all benefit from hindsight.
If you want to be part of
the biggest land and buildings reallocation 2 year period I suggest you forget
everything you know, keep your eye on what the banks are doing and get ready to
buy up big.